The monsoon onset over Kerala has been delayed by a few days and is now likely to arrive by June 3. While heavy rainfall is also expected on June 2 and 3, according to the India Meteorological Department's (IMD).

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"Southwest monsoon to arrive in Kerala by June 3, heavy rainfall expected on 2nd and 3rd June. Delhi NCR witnessed thunderstorm yesterday, likely to continue for next 2-3 days. There would be no heatwave this year due to two back-to-back cyclones," ANI quoted RK Jenamani, senior scientist, IMD.

 

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As per a report by IANS, in the last five years, except for 2017 and 2018 (May 30 and 29 respectively), the monsoon has always been delayed by a few days. In 2020, it was forecast to hit on June 1, but it started on June 5; in 2019, it was predicted June 6, but it started on June 8 and in 2016, it was delayed by a day on June 8.

According to IMD's Monday morning report, the northern limit of southwest monsoon continues to pass through 5 degree north and 72 degree east, 6 degree N and 75 degree E, 8 degree N and 80 degree E, 12 degree N and 85 degree E, 14 degree N and 90 degree E and 17 degree N and 94 degree E.

 

Due to strengthening of lower-level southwesterly winds, fairly widespread to widespread rainfall activity with isolated heavy falls is very likely over northeastern states during next five days, the IMD said.

The weather department reasoned Western Disturbance behind these changes considering a trough in mid and upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along longitude 72 degree E to the north of latitude 30 degree N.

Lower-level moisture incursion from north Arabian Sea to the plains of northwest India taking place and is very likely to continue during next 3-4 days, the IMD further added.

Rain in Delhi:

According to a report by india.com, the IMD has also predicted a welcome change in the weather forecast for Delhi. Residents of Delhi may witness ‘very light’ showers of rain and thunderstorms for three days from Monday to Wednesday.

“A fresh western disturbance is expected to impact the region, which will lead to the formation of thundery development on Sunday, with ‘light rain’ till Wednesday,” the IMD stated.