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Motilal Oswal noted that bullion was pressured by a firmer dollar, while falling Treasury yields provided only limited relief. Safe-haven buying eased a bit as tensions cooled after fresh diplomatic signals between Iran and the US.
Still, markets remain alert, because even small changes in global mood can quickly push gold prices up or down.
In domestic trade, gold futures for April delivery rose more than 1 per cent, while silver futures for March delivery surged over 3.5 per cent, making silver the stronger performer of the day.
Analysts say the sharp jump reflects a mix of:
Silver, in particular, tends to react more aggressively because of its industrial linkages and higher volatility compared to gold.
According to Motilal Oswal’s report, gold slipped under $4,900 mainly due to a stronger dollar, which makes bullion more expensive for global buyers.
The brokerage added that declining Treasury yields offered limited support, keeping sentiment cautious across commodities.
At the same time, easing geopolitical tensions reduced some urgency for safe-haven buying, even though underlying institutional interest remains steady.
Gold ETF holdings have continued to edge higher, suggesting that long-term investors are still quietly accumulating the metal.
Even with prices near historic highs, physical buying has not disappeared. Motilal Oswal pointed out that demand has stayed resilient across key Asian markets.
Motilal Oswal highlighted that silver ETFs recorded net outflows following the recent decline, signalling weaker institutional conviction in the short term.
This is important because silver often moves faster than gold — both on the upside and the downside.
The big question for retail investors is whether current levels still offer an opportunity. Analysts suggest that prices are still below their all-time highs, which could make phased buying attractive for long-term holders.
However, Motilal Oswal advises caution, as near-term direction will depend heavily on upcoming global triggers, including: