Oil steadies despite IEA warning of spare capacity limits

Updated: Thu, Jul 12, 2018
10:30 pm
Reuters
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Oil prices steadied on Thursday, but did not recover from sharp losses in the previous session despite the International Energy Agency`s (IEA) warning that the world`s oil supply cushion "might be stretched to the limit" due to production losses.

Brent crude oil gained 15 cents a barrel to trade at $73.55 by 12:46 p.m. EDT (1646 GMT), after earlier trading at a session low of $72.67. On Wednesday, the global benchmark had slumped $5.46, or 6.9 percent, its biggest one-day fall in two years

U.S. crude fell 75 cents to $69.64 a barrel, after losing 5 percent the previous session.

After a rally early in the session, Brent pared gains and remained close to unchanged on the day.

Early in the session, both benchmarks pushed briefly higher on U.S. President Donald Trump`s comments that his administration would try to negotiate a fair trade deal with China.

"The market was still nervous," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures group in Chicago. After U.S. crude briefly traded above $71 a barrel, traders exited positions, leading the market lower to test below $70 a barrel, he said.

The market continued in the grips of bearish supply news.

The announcement that Libya`s National Oil Corp (NOC) would reopen four oil export terminals, ending a standoff that had shut down most of Libya`s oil output, was a key catalyst for a dramatic sell-off on Wednesday, analysts said.

The reopening will allow the return of up to 850,000 bpd of high-quality crude to international markets.

Two Libyan oilfields will reopen, NOC and industry sources said on Thursday, easing supply concerns that have boosted the market.

Focusing on bearish factors, the market shrugged off warnings from the IEA that there is potentially a spare capacity crunch.

"Rising production from Middle East Gulf countries and Russia, welcome though it is, comes at the expense of the world`s spare capacity cushion, which might be stretched to the limit," the Paris-based agency said in its monthly report.

"This vulnerability currently underpins oil prices and seems likely to continue doing so," the IEA added.

The market also brushed off bullish data from information provider Genscape, which reported that inventories at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub had fallen 929,399 bpd from July 6 to July 10, traders said.

Supply to the U.S. market, particularly Cushing, has also been squeezed by the loss of some Canadian oil production.

The pullback has not yet derailed the possibility that Brent will recover to above $80 a barrel by the end of the year, said Brian LaRose, a senior technical analyst at ICAP-TA. If Brent pulls to below $70 a barrel, there is less of a chance that the market will recover as quickly, he said.

(This article has not been edited by Zeebiz editorial team and is auto-generated from an agency feed.)

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